Deployment plan

Generated 2026-09-17T16:46:16+00:00 (content is versioned in the repo, not market-driven)

Fed dots rollover flag: FALSE · updated 2026-09-16 · Sep 2026 FOMC hiked to 3.75-4.00%; median dot 4.125% -> false · source: config.json

Tranche deployment plan

SleeveTranche 1 (now)Tranche 2 trigger Tranche 3 / finalInvalidation
IB01 · 36%36% — full now
TLT · 8%4% now+2% at 10Y ≥ 5.10%+2% at 5.25–5.32% WITH weekly exhaustionweekly close > 5.40% → freeze adds, cut to 4%
TIP · 4%2% now+2% at 10Y ≥ 5.25%
COWZ · 15%7% now8% on SPX −3–5% pullback to the 50-day
XLV · 6%3% now3% on risk-off
GRID · 6%2% now2% on −5–8% pullback2% when copper holds 5.75+cut to 2% if ISM < 50
GLDM · 15%8% now (6-month low zone)7% if GLD holds 380–395
AMLP · 6%3% now3% at 52.50–53.00cut on distribution cut or leverage > 4.0x
PDBC · 4%2% now2% on oil 95–100exit on contango flip
Execution notes: LSE UCITS lines settle T+2 versus T+1 for US lines — keep a $20–25k settled-cash buffer so tranche adds are never blocked by unsettled sales. When rotating out of IB01 into duration, prefer IDTL over TLT.